Kevin Rudd can do nothing wrong at the moment. Today he picked the Melbourne Cup winner, Efficiency, in the office sweep as well as betting $10 on it at the TAB. John Howard’s tip, Mahler, came third.

I expect, almost certainly, we’ll be seeing this sort of celebration on November 24. Nothing the government can do in the election campaign seems to make much of a dent on Rudd … seems like the voters have made up our minds that Howard’s going.